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Discussion and analysis of the latest economic issues.

By Sean O'Grady, Economics Editor of The Independent.

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This money is proof that QE hasn't worked yet

Posted by Sean O'Grady
  • Thursday, 5 November 2009 at 12:27 pm
Though the Bank of England and its Governor, Mervyn King, would never use such language, they are spooked.

Spooked that is both by the continuing weakness in the economy, which contracted again in the third quarter of the year, and out still defiantly bust banking system, which means that credit is scarce and dear for those  who need it from a bank (if you can go to the stock market you'll be OK though).

The increase of £25bn to £200bn in the quantitative easing programme - so called printing money - brings the total to almost three times the original estimate of how much money would  be needed to get the economy moving - estimated at £75bn when the policy was launched only last March.  They might have gone further - another £50bn, but this is big enough news. 

The credit crunch, in other words, is far form over, and is just one of the big factors - along with our vast debts and over reliance on the City and housing for prosperity - that will squeeze our living standards for the next few years. Even the bank’s moves are unlikely to change that. The party, in case you hadn’t noticed, is over and isn’t going to restart for many years. 

Comments

[info]dnmurphy wrote:
Thursday, 5 November 2009 at 01:27 pm (UTC)
The government is putting 30+ billion into the banks again - as the Government has no money it will be borrowed; the BoE is putting in 25 billion to mainly buy government debt. So will the latest QE have any effect at all?
[info]mykleboon wrote:
Thursday, 5 November 2009 at 03:14 pm (UTC)
I agree with you that QE hasn't worked yet - indeed I doubt that it ever will given the form that it is taking. What I think is happening is that holders of gilts are selling them to the B of E in order to buy other EXISTING assets. This is doing nothing for lending and is just creating another financial bubble.

Of course, the original owebrs of those assets ARE receiving some extra money - but it is not clear that they are spending it - at least not here. Maybe they are buying gold or foreign currencies!
pass the parcel, or QE for beginners
[info]bryanmcgrath wrote:
Thursday, 5 November 2009 at 04:08 pm (UTC)
As noted earlier HMG put another 30 bill into the banks yesterday. The effect was to up the Public Sector Net Cash Requirement (PSNCR) by the odd 13 bill.

So it is time for another round of drinks, everybody puts their hands in their pockets and looks to the wall, waiting for somebody else to stump up. YES the BoE will pay, this time!!

25 bill in QE, just wait until the BoE starts muttering about inflation and lets the gilt market drop like a stone.

Oh happy days!
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